2.2 Identifying a Probable Business Acquisition
As discussed in Sections 2.4 and 3.4, for registration statements and in certain proxy statements,
                    Rules 3-05 and
                    3-14, respectively,
                may require presentation of (1) financial statements and (2) pro forma financial
                information for a business that has not yet been acquired but whose acquisition is
                    probable. While the term “probable” is not defined in Rule 3-05 or Rule
                3-14, the SEC offers the following guidance in Codified Financial Reporting Release
                Section 506.02(c)(ii):
                    
            Guidance as to when consummation of a transaction is
                        probable cannot be given because such a determination is dependent upon the
                        facts and circumstances. In essence, however, consummation of a transaction
                        is considered to be probable whenever the registrants’ financial statements
                        alone would not provide investors with adequate financial information with
                        which to make an investment decision.
                Note that the SEC’s guidance on the term “probable” is not
                necessarily the same as that in ASC 450 under U.S. GAAP (i.e., ASC 450-20 explains
                that a future event or events are probable if “[t]he future event or events are
                likely to occur”).
            The presence of the following factors may be relevant in the determination of whether
                an acquisition is probable for SEC reporting purposes:
            - A signed definitive agreement or letter of intent.
 - Approval from the board of directors or shareholders of the companies.
 - Submission of the terms of the proposed transaction to appropriate regulatory agencies for approval.
 - Negotiations that are substantially complete.
 - An arrangement that financial penalties will be imposed if the acquisition is not consummated.
 - A public announcement of a business acquisition.
 
Other factors may be present, and an acquisition may still be considered probable
                when none of the above factors exist if the registrant’s financial statements alone
                would be inadequate for investment decision-making purposes. Similar considerations
                apply in the assessment of whether a business acquisition is probable as a result of
                events other than a purchase transaction (e.g., veto rights of noncontrolling
                interest lapse such that a registrant obtains control over an entity).
            It is the responsibility of the registrant to assess probability.
                When performing this assessment, a registrant should carefully evaluate all facts
                and circumstances and consider seeking advice from SEC legal counsel.
            Example 2-1
                                As indicated in a letter of intent,
                                        Registrant A is expected to acquire Company B. The
                                        significance of the acquisition to A was estimated to exceed
                                        the 50 percent level. The letter of intent was not a
                                        definitive merger agreement, and both companies made public
                                        announcements regarding the acquisition. On the basis of an
                                        evaluation of these facts and circumstances, A’s management
                                        determined that the acquisition of B by A was probable.