Financial Reporting Considerations Arising From the Conflict in the Middle East
Introduction
The ongoing conflict and instability across parts of the Middle East have
introduced uncertainties that may affect financial reporting for many entities,
including those with and without direct operations in the region. This
Financial Reporting Alert is intended to raise awareness of some of
the key potential impacts arising from the conflict in the Middle East that
entities should consider. These include:
-
Production interruptions and physical asset/inventory damage in affected regions.
-
Supply-chain threats.
-
Shipping and logistics disruption on key maritime routes.
-
Airspace and travel suspension affecting the movement of people and cargo.
-
Energy and broader commodity price volatility affecting input costs and margins.
-
Foreign exchange and financial market repricing (equity volatility and widening credit spreads).
-
Commercial impacts, including demand shifts and reduced sales/earnings in exposed markets.
-
Elevated costs and operational risk from security/insurance increases, cyberattacks, and critical infrastructure/service outages.
Entities with minimal exposures or no existing operational footprint in the
region may also need to evaluate the potential impacts of the conflict
highlighted above. It is important that entities aggregate and consider their
direct and indirect exposures to these impacts and consider the related
financial accounting and reporting implications. Such implications could be
numerous, particularly for entities with (1) material subsidiaries, operations,
investments, contractual arrangements, or joint ventures in the region or (2)
significant suppliers, vendors, customers, lenders, borrowers, or insureds with
direct or indirect exposure to the region.
Although it may be too early to assess the conflict’s broad
implications, an entity’s related accounting and financial reporting
considerations may be similar to those arising from a substantial market
disruption or catastrophic natural disaster. Further, because the current and
future macroeconomic impacts of the conflict are not presently known, entities
should reassess the repercussions of the conflict both throughout the reporting
period and for the duration of the conflict and consider whether new accounting
and reporting effects have materialized. The following sections address these
considerations in greater detail:
Broad Financial Reporting and Accounting Considerations
Forecasting
Many entities may face significant challenges related to forecasting as a
result of ongoing uncertainties associated with the conflict in the Middle
East.
In response to cost structure changes that include higher inventory and
freight costs, entities should (1) consider how they expect the altered cost
structures to continue into the future and (2) evaluate whether they will be
able to offset any increased costs with pricing adjustments. If entities are
unable to procure resources needed to produce and deliver goods and
services, they may see a significant decline in revenues.
An entity’s forecasts are used in a variety of accounting estimates,
including, but not limited to, those related to the assessment of (1)
goodwill or other long-lived assets for impairment, (2) whether valuation
allowances related to the recovery of deferred tax asset balances are
needed, and (3) liquidity and the appropriateness of the going-concern
presumption. In developing forecasts and assessing the related accounting
implications, an entity should consider whether the effects of the
uncertainties are short-term or long-term and how that determination will
affect various accounting estimates. It should also ensure that the
forecasts used in business planning are consistent with those used in
developing accounting estimates.
Inflation
The conflict in the Middle East may exacerbate inflationary pressures
globally by disrupting energy markets, shipping routes, and key commodity
flows. In particular, oil and natural gas supply risks and logistics
constraints have contributed to higher energy prices. Although inflation
affects entities differently, there are common considerations related to the
evaluation of how recent inflationary trends may affect their accounting and
financial reporting.
For example, because the conflict and related supply
disruptions may drive up the costs of acquiring goods, inventory, and
related packaging materials, entities should consider whether they can pass
along those increased costs to their customers. See the Supply-Chain
Disruptions section for considerations related to costs that
are capitalized as part of inventory. The International Monetary Fund (IMF)
warned that a sustained 10 percent increase in oil prices throughout the
year may result in a global inflationary increase of 40 basis points.1 Entities should consider, as applicable, the need to reflect such
macroeconomic outlooks when updating budgets, sensitivity analyses, and
forward-looking overlays used in estimates.
Entities may also have increased costs associated with long-term revenue
contracts that they may or may not be able to pass along to their customers.
If an entity is unable to raise its prices under a revenue contract, it may
incur a loss or a decline in its estimated profitability associated with the
contract. Entities should consider the potential accounting implications of
reduced or negative profitability on a revenue contract, including the
period in which to record a loss if applicable.
As a result of inflation, long-term contracts such as leases or certain
supply agreements may need to be renegotiated or possibly terminated, which
in turn may have accounting implications. For example, if a lease contract
is modified, an entity may (depending on the terms) be required to reassess
the lease’s classification and measurement.
In addition, inflation may lead to an increase in interest rates and
corresponding declines in the fair value of fixed-rate financial assets.
Entities should also consider the impacts of inflation on estimated credit
and loan loss reserves.
As entities review their investment strategies in light of recent and ongoing
inflation, they may consider making different types of investments or moving
away from holding excess cash on hand. For example, an entity may consider
investing in gold, digital assets (such as cryptocurrencies), or Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities as a hedge against inflation. Entities
contemplating such investments should consider the complex accounting and
financial reporting that may result from holding them. For example,
inflation-indexed debt securities are subject to specific interest
recognition guidance under U.S. GAAP. Further, entities should evaluate them
to determine whether they contain a derivative that must be accounted for
separately. In applying these policies, management should also remain alert
to sanctions and compliance constraints when counterparties or instruments
could have exposure to Iran or other parts of the Middle East.
Further, certain entities should monitor the appropriateness of the discount
rate used to measure any pension-related liabilities, particularly since
even a seemingly small change in the discount rate can significantly affect
an entity’s pension liability. For example, higher interest rates may lead
to decreases in both pension liabilities and required employer
contributions. However, such decreases may be offset by higher employee
wages or increases in inflation-linked benefits.
Supply-Chain Disruptions
Heightened security risks in the region have led many carriers to seek
alternative routes, which are often longer voyages and may cause delays and
material increases in fuel consumption. These factors drive longer lead
times, capacity constraints, and higher costs for a broad range of
goods.
For many entities, such disruptions are increasing the costs associated with
moving goods through the supply chain. Entities should consider whether to
include these costs in inventory and, if so, whether adjustments based on
the expected net realizable value of the inventory are warranted. This
determination is likely to vary by industry and entity given (1) the use of
different types of materials, (2) supplier diversity, and (3) an entity’s
ability to transfer cost increases to its customers through higher selling
prices.
As raw materials, finished goods, and supplies make their way through a
disrupted supply chain, entities should consider the point in time at which
the buyer assumes ownership of them to ensure their appropriate reporting on
the balance sheet. If transit times increase or the transport of goods is
stalled, entities that may have had only immaterial amounts of goods in
transit because of historically short transfer times may find it necessary
to implement more robust accounting processes and internal controls to
appropriately account for their inventories (some of which may be physically
held by third parties). Likewise, entities should ensure that suitable
cut-off procedures result in revenue recognition in the appropriate period.
Given the greater variability in delivery timing, controls related to
recognition of inventory in transit, proof of delivery, and changes to
International Commercial Terms (commonly referred to as “Incoterms”) may
require enhancement.
Further, entities struggling to obtain certain products that are inputs to
finished goods may consider adjusting their manufacturing processes to use
different inputs or produce the products differently. Entities should also
consider whether the need to use alternative raw materials or processes
affects the warranties offered and the accounting for those warranties.
Changes in the terms and conditions of warranties, the expected life of
products, or expected warranty claims may differ by product type, and such
differences, combined with increased material and labor costs, could affect
the related warranty accounting.
Risks and Uncertainties
Entities that apply accrual accounting must make estimates in current-period
financial statements on the basis of current events and transactions, the
effects of which may not be precisely determinable until some future period.
The outcome of such events and transactions may not match original
expectations. Uncertainty about the outcome of future events is inherent in
economics, and that fact should be understood when reading reports on
economic activities, such as published financial statements. A business, to
a great extent, is a function of the environment in which it operates. Thus,
it can be affected by changing social, political, and economic factors.
Further, any entity (or the industry it operates in) may be affected by
uncertainties associated with future events.
Disclosure Considerations
Uncertainties associated with the conflict in the Middle East may or
may not be considered contingencies under ASC 450-10-20;2 accordingly, the disclosures required by ASC 275-10-50
supplement and, in many cases, overlap those required by ASC
450-20-50. Although conflicts such as that in the Middle East and
impacts of changes in regulations are not directly within the scope
of ASC 275, an entity should consider whether to disclose certain
significant estimates and current vulnerabilities that may be
attributable to concentrations associated with (1) its operations in
regions affected by the conflict or (2) its holding of investments
with exposures to those regions.
Entities with concentrated exposures in the affected regions are vulnerable
to greater risk of loss relative to other entities. Examples of
concentrations include those associated with:
-
The volume of business with a particular customer in an affected jurisdiction.
-
Revenue from particular products or services.
-
The sources of supply of materials, labor, or services.
-
The market or geographic area in which an entity conducts its business.
ASC 275-10-50-16 requires disclosure of concentrations if all the following
conditions are met:
-
“The concentration exists at the date of the financial statements.”
-
“The concentration makes the entity vulnerable to the risk of a near-term severe impact.”
-
“It is at least reasonably possible that the events that could cause the severe impact will occur in the near term.”
Entities with material exposures to the affected regions will need to
consider whether to provide disclosure of concentrations, particularly if
they have met the second condition above.
Going-Concern Disclosures
The conflict in the Middle East may significantly disrupt the operations of
businesses that have material operations in the regions affected by it or
that may hold material investments or lending activities with entities in
such regions. Those entities will need to assess whether any disruptions may
be prolonged and result in diminished demand for products or services or
significant liquidity shortfalls (or both) that, among other things, raise
substantial doubt about whether the entities may be able to continue as
going concerns.
As part of performing this assessment, management may need to consider
whether an entity’s financial statements should continue to be prepared on a
going-concern basis (i.e., whether ASC 205-30 is applicable). Even more
importantly, management must consider whether, on the basis of ASC 205-40,
(1) there are conditions and events that, when considered in the aggregate,
raise substantial doubt about the entity’s ability to continue as a going
concern within one year after the date on which the interim or annual
financial statements are issued and (2) these conditions are able to be
mitigated by management’s plans.
ASC 205-40 requires an entity to provide disclosures in the annual and
interim financial statements when events and conditions the
entity identifies raise substantial doubt about the entity’s ability to
continue as a going concern within one year after the financial statements
are issued. The disclosures are required even when management’s plans
alleviate such doubt. If management’s plans do not alleviate such doubt,
management must, in addition to providing the required disclosures, state in
the footnotes to the financial statements that there is substantial doubt
about the entity’s ability to continue as a going concern within one year
after the date on which the annual or interim financial statements are
issued.
As indicated in ASC 205-40-55-2, assessing whether there is substantial doubt
about an entity’s ability to continue as a going concern may involve the
consideration of factors such as the following:
-
Negative financial trends, such as working capital deficiencies and short-term negative cash flows from operating activities, that may stem directly from the conflict.
-
Other indications of possible financial difficulties such as default on loans or similar agreements, denial of usual trade credit from suppliers, a need to restructure debt to avoid default, noncompliance with statutory capital requirements, and a need to seek new sources or methods of financing or to dispose of substantial assets.
-
Internal matters such as substantial dependence on operations in regions affected by the conflict, uneconomic long-term commitments, and a need to significantly revise operations.
-
External matters such as legal proceedings, sanctions, legislation, or similar matters that might jeopardize the entity’s ability to operate in affected regions; loss of a key franchise, license, or patent; or loss of a principal customer or supplier. These circumstances would apply primarily to affected entities.
Subsequent Events
Given the uncertainty resulting from the conflict in the Middle East and the
likelihood that changes may occur rapidly or unexpectedly, entities should
carefully evaluate information that becomes available after the balance
sheet date but before the issuance of the financial statements. ASC
855-10-25-1 and ASC 855-10-25-3 provide the following guidance on evaluating
subsequent events:
An entity shall recognize in the financial statements the effects of
all subsequent events that provide additional evidence about
conditions that existed at the date of the balance sheet, including
the estimates inherent in the process of preparing financial
statements. See paragraph 855-10-55-1 for examples of recognized
subsequent events.
An entity shall not recognize subsequent events that provide evidence
about conditions that did not exist at the date of the balance sheet
but arose after the balance sheet date but before financial
statements are issued or are available to be issued. See paragraph
855-10-55-2 for examples of nonrecognized subsequent events.
For example, in their interim and annual financial statements for periods
ended as of December 31, 2025, and January 31, 2026, entities are likely to
have accounted for the risks associated with the conflict as nonrecognized
subsequent events. Entities with interim or annual financial statements for
periods ended as of or in close proximity to February 28, 2026, may need to
carefully evaluate whether certain conditions existed on the balance sheet
date and whether those conditions will result in recognized or nonrecognized
subsequent events. However, depending on the conflict’s duration and
evolution, we expect that future filings (e.g., Form 10-Q for the quarter
ended March 31, 2026, or annual or interim financial statements for periods
ended on or after February 28, 2026) may reflect an increase in the
recognition of associated accounting impacts for entities that have material
exposures to them.
Disclosure Considerations
ASC 855-10-50-2 notes, in part, that “[s]ome nonrecognized subsequent
events may be of such a nature that they must be disclosed to keep
the financial statements from being misleading.” In such
circumstances, the disclosures must include (1) the “nature of the
event” and (2) an “estimate of its financial effect, or a statement
that such an estimate cannot be made.”
Next Steps
As discussed in the Introduction section,
this Financial Reporting Alert is intended to raise awareness of
potential financial reporting impacts arising from the conflict in the Middle
East. As the conflict evolves, entities should continue to evaluate both direct
and indirect effects on their facts and circumstances related to financial
reporting. We will continue to monitor developments and assess whether updates
to this Financial Reporting Alert may be warranted as additional
information becomes available. Reporting entities must use judgment in
evaluating the effects of the conflict on financial reporting. Entities may
consider consulting with a professional accounting adviser as necessary in
evaluating specific facts and circumstances.
Contacts
|
|
Stephen McKinney
Audit &
Assurance
Managing Director
Deloitte & Touche
LLP
+1 203 761 3579
|
|
Brendan Gaffney
Audit &
Assurance
Manager
Deloitte & Touche
LLP
+1 804 482 7468
|
|
|
Alissia Spence
Audit &
Assurance
Manager
Deloitte & Touche
LLP
+1 513 723 3210
|
Footnotes
1
See IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva's
keynote speech "Coping
and Thriving in a Fluid World," which was delivered at Japan's
Ministry of Finance's symposium "Future of the Global Economy
Amid a Fluid International Economic and Monetary Order" in
Tokyo on March 9, 2026.
2
For titles of FASB Accounting Standards Codification
(ASC) references, see Deloitte’s “Titles of Topics and Subtopics in the
FASB Accounting Standards
Codification.”